Figure 6 : COVID-19 China. Ensemble-based probabilistic forecast issued on day 25.

The blue symbols show the observations used to estimate the ensemble of 30 logistic curves. The red symbols show the reported number of confirmed cases of days 26-to-45. Five black curves are shown: the minimum and maximum values (dotted lines), the median (solid line), and the 25th and 75th quantiles (dashed lines).

Roberto Buizza Journal of Medical Statistics and Informatics  2020 8:4DOI : 10.7243/2053-7662-8-4